MLS Power Rankings: Matchday 12

Hey! More soccer this weekend! Some of it was good, like Inter Miami, Nashville SC and Toronto FC. Some of it was really, really bad, like Orlando City, Chicago Fire, Atlanta United, and whatever that game between Houston and St. Louis was. Let’s dive in.

For a detailed breakdown of how our OPI model works, check out this explainer from 2022. Here’s the shortened version:

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  • Points per game – 30%
  • Goal difference – 15%
  • Form in last five games – 15%
  • Expected goal difference – 12.5%
  • Strength of schedule – 12.5%
  • Home and away form – 12.5%
  • Goals added – 2.5%

Matchday 12 Power Rankings

1Inter Miami CF6-2 win vs RBNY25.42+4.13
2Real Salt Lake1-0 win vs SKC21.57+3+2.05
3Vancouver Whitecaps0-0 draw vs ATX21.00-1-0.26
4Minnesota United2-1 win at ATL20.68-1+0.75
5FC Cincinnati1-0 win at ORL19.14+2+1.35
6LA Galaxy0-0 draw at SEA16.48+3+0.08
7New York Red Bulls2-6 loss at MIA16.28-3-3.52
8DC United2-2 draw vs PHI15.60+2+0.06
9Columbus CrewBye15.47+2
10LAFC3-1 loss at SJ15.26-4-2.82
11Toronto FC3-1 win vs DAL15.04+5+2.98
12Colorado Rapids2-0 win at NYC15.03+2+1.15
13Atlanta United1-2 loss vs MIN15.00-0.07
14Philadelphia Union2-3 loss vs SEA
2-2 draw at DC
15New York City FC0-2 loss vs COL14.06-3-1.34
16Charlotte FC2-0 win vs POR13.25+1+2.45
17ST. Louis CITY SC0-0 draw at HOU13.19-2-0.14
18Seattle Sounders3-2 win at PHI
0-0 draw vs LA
19Houston Dynamo0-0 draw vs STL10.22-10.02
20Austin FC0-0 draw at VAN9.24-1+0.21
21Nashville SC4-1 win vs MTL7.30+6+3.94
22Sporting KC0-1 loss at RSL6.86-1.20
23Orlando City SC0-1 loss vs CIN6.28+1-0.62
24FC Dallas1-3 loss at TOR5.40+1-0.93
25CF Montréal1-4 loss at NSH5.39-4-3.14
26Portland Timbers0-2 loss at CLT4.61-3-2.31
27Chicago Fire0-1 loss vs NE3.40-1-1.86
28San Jose Earthquakes3-1 win vs LAFC2.48+2.31
29New England Revolution1-0 win at CHI-2.25+1.09

Yeah, Inter Miami are really really good. Complaining about Messi and Co. getting all the headlines is hard to back up when Messi is out here dropping the best individual attacking performances in league history. That’s what he did on Saturday, throwing down a casual goal and five (5!!!!) assists against a hapless New York Red Bulls. Able to rest without midweek competition and fully focused on MLS, this team is scary. Oh, yeah, and Luis Suarez had a hat trick. I’m kind of expecting them to be at the top of the rankings for the rest of the year…

As for the non-Miami standouts, there were plenty.

Real Salt Lake are back into second after a professional 1-0 win over Sporting KC. It wasn’t a flashy performance and by their standards it was rather underwhelming, but a win is a win. And RSL are racking up wins this season.

FC Cincinnati jump up two spots after their 1-0 win against Orlando City. They were fine. Orlando were horrific. Playing a man down for 65+ minutes, they had no ideas and never looked threatening. They’re such a disappointment this season.

Speaking of other aggressively mid teams, we were treated to two of the worst matchups yet this season. Chicago Fire lost 1-0 at home to the New England Revolution, and I have a feeling those two will be competing for last place in these rankings for the rest of the year. At least they combined for a goal – Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City couldn’t even manage that, despite taking 40 shots between them.

Toronto FC are on the cusp of the top 10 after another strong showing, beating FC Dallas (another actively bad team) at home. Federico Bernardeschi is playing like the star he was signed to be, and John Herdman has this team bought in and committed. I have doubts on how sustainable it is with this roster, but enjoy it while it lasts.

Nashville SC are this week’s biggest winner, moving up six spots after a 4-1 win over CF Montréal featuring a hat-trick from Sam Surridge. It will take a lot more than one win for them to be truly back, but it was a good sign in their first match with all three Designated Players starting this season.

One final note: several teams moved up, especially in the Top 10, despite draws or losses. When this happens, it’s always best to check the SCORE ∆ column, which really tells the story. DC United and LA Galaxy moved up two and three spots respectively despite draws, but their score increases were essentially zero. Columbus Crew‘s score actually had zero change during their bye week, but they also moved up two spots. This is simply due to other teams dropping. New York Red Bulls and LAFC‘s drops made room for them even without any increase to their score.

Author: Ben Wrightis the Director of Soccer Content and a Senior MLS Contributor for Broadway Sports covering Nashville SC and the US National Team. Previously Ben was the editor and a founder of Speedway Soccer, where he has covered Nashville SC and their time in USL before journeying to Major League Soccer since 2018. Raised in Louisville, KY Ben grew up playing before a knee injury ended his competitive career. When he is not talking soccer he is probably producing music, drinking coffee or hanging out with his wife and kids. Mastodon

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