MLS Power Rankings: Matchday 13

Miami continue to dominate, LAFC are back on track, and Toronto and NYCFC really don’t like each other. Let’s dive in.

For a detailed breakdown of how our OPI model works, check out this explainer from 2022. Here’s the shortened version:

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  • Points per game – 30%
  • Goal difference – 15%
  • Form in last five games – 15%
  • Expected goal difference – 12.5%
  • Strength of schedule – 12.5%
  • Home and away form – 12.5%
  • Goals added – 2.5%

Matchday 13 Power Rankings

1Inter Miami CF3-2 win at MTL26.61+1.19
2FC Cincinnati2-1 win at CLB21.44+3+2.30
3Minnesota UnitedBye20.68+1
4Real Salt Lake2-2 draw at LA19.77-2-1.80
5LAFC3-0 win vs VAN19.08+5+3.82
6New York Red Bulls4-2 win vs NE18.66+1+2.38
7DC United3-2 win at ATL17.71+1+2.11
8LA Galaxy2-2 draw vs RSL17.56-2+1.08
9Vancouver Whitecaps0-3 loss vs LAFC17.52-6-3.48
10New York City FC3-2 win at TOR15.99+5+1.93
11ST. Louis City SC3-1 win vs CHI15.96+6+2.77
12Charlotte FC1-0 win vs NSH15.49+4+2.24
13Philadelphia Union2-3 loss vs ORL15.38+1+0.58
14Colorado Rapids2-3 loss vs SJ14.34-2-0.69
15Seattle Sounders2-1 win at POR13.95+3+1.53
16Atlanta United2-3 loss vs PHI13.83-3-1.17
17Toronto FC2-3 loss vs NYC13.71-6-1.33
18Columbus Crew1-2 loss vs CIN13.30-9-2.17
19Houston Dynamo1-2 loss vs SKC11.12+0.90
20Austin FC1-2 loss at DAL8.25-0.99
21Orlando City SC3-2 win at PHI6.77+2+0.49
22Sporting KC1-2 loss vs HOU6.44-0.42
23FC Dallas2-1 win vs ATX6.20+1+0.80
24Nashville SC0-1 loss at CLT5.88-3-1.42
25CF Montréal2-3 loss vs MIA5.09-0.30
26San Jose Earthquakes3-2 win at COL3.93+2+1.45
27Portland Timbers1-2 loss vs SEA3.61-1-1.00
28Chicago Fire1-3 loss at STL1.53-1-1.87
29New England Revolution2-4 loss at RBNY-4.47-2.22

Inter Miami got a star turn from Matías Rojas, scoring and assisting in their comeback road win over CF Montréal. Obviously, Lionel Messi is the star, but this team have so many other options besides him that they can kill you even when the goat has a quiet night.

FC Cincinnati jump into second place, both in the rankings and the Supporters’ Shield race, with a 2-1 win on the road in the Hell Is Real derby. Against a full strength Columbus Crew, Lucho Acosta took over the game, bolstered by a standout performance from new U22 striker Kevin Kelsy.

LAFC took a big jump, moving up five spots after a 3-0 home win over Vancouver Whitecaps. Cristian Olivera has been one of the more unsung high performers this season and has been a good foil for Denis Bouanga on the other side. Adding Olivier Giroud in the summer is gonna make this attack terrifying.

New York City FC break into the top 10 this week after a 3-2 win at Toronto FC. They’ve quietly put together a three-match win streak, and are finally starting to get more consistent production from the ultra-young and ultra-talented roster they’ve assembled.

St. Louis City are the other big winners of the week, jumping up six spots with a dominant 3-1 win over the hapless Chicago Fire. Their actual form has been rather meh, but the model really likes some of their underlying numbers, and their performance this week squeezes them ahead of a crowded group of mid teams.

Projected table

With one third of the 2024 season in the books, we’re rolling out our projected tables for the first time this year. These aren’t predictions of the final standings, but rather a look at where each team would end up if they sustain their current home and away form over their remaining matches. It’s an interesting look at where the table is heading.

Author: Ben Wrightis the Director of Soccer Content and a Senior MLS Contributor for Broadway Sports covering Nashville SC and the US National Team. Previously Ben was the editor and a founder of Speedway Soccer, where he has covered Nashville SC and their time in USL before journeying to Major League Soccer since 2018. Raised in Louisville, KY Ben grew up playing before a knee injury ended his competitive career. When he is not talking soccer he is probably producing music, drinking coffee or hanging out with his wife and kids. Mastodon

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