MLS Power Rankings: Matchday 27

After a month off for Leagues Cup, the MLS regular season started back up this weekend. As is tradition, I’m firing up the power rankings again, because apparently I can’t get enough of being screamed at online.

A point of clarification: these rankings account for MLS results only. Concacaf Champions League, US Open Cup and Leagues Cup do not affect the rankings. Miami are still in last place, but will jump up quickly if their Lionel Messi-inspired form continues.

  • Points per game – 30%
  • Goal difference – 15%
  • Form in last five games – 15%
  • Expected goal difference – 12.5%
  • Strength of schedule – 12.5%
  • Home and away form – 12.5%
  • Goals added – 2.5%

Matchday 27 Power Rankings

RANKTEAMSCORERANK CHANGESCORE CHANGE
1ST. Louis CITY SC27.94+1+2.06
2FC Cincinnati27.35-1-2.44
3Columbus Crew26.30+2+3.16
4LAFC24.37-1
5Philadelphia Union23.57-1
6New England Revolution23.07
7Nashville SC21.62+1
8Vancouver Whitecaps20.26+1-0.17
9Seattle Sounders20.24-2-1.40
10Orlando City SC19.70+2.17
11Atlanta United18.02+2.10
12New York Red Bulls15.68+1.44
13Minnesota United14.19+2+1.29
14Real Salt Lake13.40
15DC United12.24-2-1.21
16Houston Dynamo11.12+5+4.56
17FC Dallas10.29
18Austin FC9.76-2-1.41
19San Jose Earthquakes9.05+0.62
20New York City FC7.84-0.47
21Chicago Fire6.94-3-1.89
22CF Montréal4.74+3+1.54
23Sporting KC4.55
24LA Galaxy3.48
25Portland Timbers0.69-3-3.93
26Colorado Rapids-0.21
27Charlotte FC-1.55-0.14
28Toronto FC-4.23-1.17
29Inter Miami CF-5.66

The OPI model must really like Vancouver Whitecaps. They have one win in nine road matches, and just lost at home to San Jose Earthquakes. Their score dropped, though, and they only move up due to teams around them falling. Their underlying metrics have propped them up for a while, but I expect them to start dropping here.

Similarly, Seattle Sounders cling to a spot in the top 10 after a hearty 2-0 thumping at home by Atlanta United. They’re still in 11th in the Supporters’ Shield standings, but looked inept for a while before Leagues Cup kicked off. They have some serious roster issues to address this winter.

Columbus Crew smashed FC Cincinnati 3-0 at Lower.com Field, continuing their form from before the break. They’ve been one of the most dynamic teams in MLS this season and their summer transfer window additions make them even scarier. The loss drops Cincinnati down to second place, despite their hefty lead in the Supporters’ Shield race.

St. Louis City take the top spot after a 6-3 demolition of Austin FC. They continue to defy expectations, holding a seven point lead over LAFC in the Western Conference and playing like team that has been around for years.

At the other end of the table, Toronto FC and Portland Timbers continue to look completely dysfunctional. Toronto are all but officially eliminated from the playoffs, and Portland won’t be far behind with more performances like their 5-0 embarrassment against Houston Dynamo.

Author: Ben Wrightis the Director of Soccer Content and a Senior MLS Contributor for Broadway Sports covering Nashville SC and the US National Team. Previously Ben was the editor and a founder of Speedway Soccer, where he has covered Nashville SC and their time in USL before journeying to Major League Soccer since 2018. Raised in Louisville, KY Ben grew up playing before a knee injury ended his competitive career. When he is not talking soccer he is probably producing music, drinking coffee or hanging out with his wife and kids. Mastodon

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