Week 27 MLS Power Rankings

More MLS action, more power rankings. As always, direct your complaints to @benwright on Twitter.

How the rankings work

These power rankings aren’t a subjective result of one person’s opinion, but use a stats-based model for each team to get a more in-depth look at where clubs actually stand. The model weighs points per game and strength of schedule most heavily, with goal difference and expected goal difference weighted incrementally less. This is an attempt to show not just how teams have done in the table, but how they’ve played on the field. If you’re interested in the methodology, the full model can be viewed here.

These power rankings aren’t an attempt to predict the final table, just to provide readers with a different angle from which to judge teams. A helpful way to think of it is if a team is significantly higher in the rankings than they are in the table, they’re probably underperforming. If they’re significantly lower in the rankings than in the table, they’re overperforming.

Week 27 Power Rankings

  1. New England Revolution (-)
  2. Nashville SC (↑2)
  3. NYCFC (↓1)
  4. Sporting KC (-)
  5. Seattle Sounders (-)
  6. Colorado Rapids (↑1)
  7. LA Galaxy (↓1)
  8. DC United (-)
  9. Minnesota United (-)
  10. Philadelphia Union (-)
  11. CF Montréal (↑1)
  12. Atlanta United (↓1)
  13. New York Red Bulls (↑1)
  14. Real Salt Lake (↓1)
  15. Portland Timbers (↑3)
  16. Orlando City (-)
  17. LAFC (↓2)
  18. Vancouver Whitecaps (↑1)
  19. FC Dallas (↓2)
  20. San Jose Earthquakes (↑1)
  21. Columbus Crew (↓1)
  22. Houston Dynamo (-)
  23. Austin FC (↑2)
  24. Chicago Fire (-)
  25. Inter Miami CF (↓2)
  26. Toronto FC (↑1)
  27. FC Cincinnati (↓1)

Nashville SC jump up two spots on the back of a 5-1 road win over Inter Miami CF. NYCFC drop a spot after taking just a point from two games against New York Red Bulls.

LAFC continue their poor season with a 2-0 loss to San Jose Earthquakes, while Portland Timbers jump three spots into 15th with a 6-1 win over Real Salt Lake.

Projected standings

New England Revolution are the first side to officially clinch a playoff berth after wins against Chicago Fire and Orlando City, and are on pace for a league-record 75 points. After Nashville with 58 points and NYCFC on 51, the final four playoff teams in the East are all on track for 50 points, leading to a potential four-way tie.

Seattle‘s win over Sporting KC gives them a five point lead in the West, with an eight point gap between Sporting in third and Portland in fourth. LAFC are projected to miss the playoffs for the first time in their MLS history, four points behind Real Salt Lake in seventh.

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